UPDATED: 09-08-25 10:43 PDT

men Aurora 3
  
Aurora                
W-L: (14- 5) PR = 84.5641

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 222 H Illinois Wesleyan CCIW (14- 2, 88.7) 7-13 226 A Kalamazoo MIAA ( 6- 7, 82.1) 9-12 304 A Colorado College HCLC South ( 8- 6, 88.9) 6-14 306 N St John Fisher Empire 8 (15- 4, 93.1) 4-17 312 H Elmhurst CCIW (13- 3, 90.2) 6-17 319 H Concordia-Wisconsin NACC (12- 8, 81.7) 13- 5 322 A MSOE NACC (10- 7, 80.2) 16- 4 326 H Cornell College NACC ( 4-11, 74.9) 19- 4 329 H Beloit NACC ( 4-11, 73.9) 24- 2 402 A Dubuque NACC (11- 7, 81.4) 12- 6 405 A Edgewood NACC ( 4-11, 77.3) 18- 4 409 A Illinois Tech NACC ( 8- 9, 79.8) 14- 3 412 H Lawrence NACC ( 4-11, 76.7) 30- 2 416 H Lake Forest NACC (10- 8, 82.6) 10- 9 419 A Marian (WI) NACC ( 1-12, 72.2) 22- 4 423 A Benedictine (IL) NACC ( 6-12, 78.9) 18- 4 426 H Edgewood NACC ( 4-11, 77.3) 22- 7 430 H Lake Forest NACC (10- 8, 82.6) 12- 9 503 H Concordia-Wisconsin NACC (12- 8, 81.7) 14- 9 507 A Ohio Northern OAC (15- 4, 88.8)

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   222 H Illinois Wesleyan       7-13      -6    -4          -1.25
   226 A Kalamazoo               9-12      -3     2    --    -5.11
   304 A Colorado College        6-14      -8    -5          -0.30
   306 N St John Fisher          4-17     -13    -9           0.00
   312 H Elmhurst                6-17     -11    -5           0.00
   319 H Concordia-Wisconsin    13- 5       8     3           1.77
   322 A MSOE                   16- 4      12     4           0.99
   326 H Cornell College        19- 4      15    10           0.00
   329 H Beloit                 24- 2      22    11           0.00
   402 A Dubuque                12- 6       6     3    +      2.14
   405 A Edgewood               18- 4      14     7           0.00
   409 A Illinois Tech          14- 3      11     4           0.58
   412 H Lawrence               30- 2      28     8           0.00
   416 H Lake Forest            10- 9       1     2          -1.30
   419 A Marian (WI)            22- 4      18    12           0.00
   423 A Benedictine (IL)       18- 4      14     5           0.00
   426 H Edgewood               22- 7      15     8           0.00
   430 H Lake Forest            12- 9       3     2           0.70
   503 H Concordia-Wisconsin    14- 9       5     3           1.77

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   226 A Kalamazoo               9-12      -3     2    --    -5.11

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   402 A Dubuque                12- 6       6     3    +      2.14

Aurora Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Adrian Adrian insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 1) Adrian
Albertus Magnus Aurora   Aurora
Albion Albion insuffient: ( 0- 3)( 1- 2) Albion
Albright Aurora   Aurora
Alfred Aurora tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Aurora
Alfred State Aurora   Aurora
Allegheny Aurora   Aurora
Alma Aurora tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Aurora
Alvernia Aurora   Aurora
Amherst Amherst   Amherst
Anderson (IN) Aurora   Aurora
Anna Maria Aurora   Aurora
Arcadia Arcadia   Arcadia
Augustana Aurora Aurora   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Averett Aurora   Aurora
Babson Babson   Babson
Baldwin Wallace Baldwin Wallace   Baldwin Wallace
Bates Bates   Bates
Beloit Aurora Aurora  
Benedictine (IL) Aurora Aurora  
Berry Aurora   Aurora
Bethany Aurora   Aurora
Bowdoin Bowdoin   Bowdoin
Brevard Aurora   Aurora
Bridgewater Aurora   Aurora
Brockport Aurora tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Aurora
Bryn Athyn Aurora   Aurora
Cairn Aurora   Aurora
Calvin Aurora insuffient: ( 3- 2)( 4- 1) Aurora
Canton Aurora   Aurora
Capital Aurora   Aurora
Carroll Aurora Aurora   7- 2 vs 4- 5
Carthage Carthage insuffient: ( 6- 3)( 7- 2) Carthage
Castleton Aurora   Aurora
Catholic Catholic   Catholic
Centenary (LA) Aurora Aurora   2- 1 vs 0- 3
Centenary (NJ) Aurora   Aurora
Centre Centre tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Centre
Chatham Chatham   Chatham
Christopher Newport Christopher Newport   Christopher Newport
Clark Clark   Clark
Clarkson Clarkson   Clarkson
Coast Guard Coast Guard   Coast Guard
Cobleskill Aurora   Aurora
Colby Colby   Colby
Colorado College Colorado College Colorado College  
Concordia-Wisconsin Aurora Aurora  
Connecticut College Connecticut College   Connecticut College
Cornell College Aurora Aurora  
Cortland Cortland insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Cortland
Curry Aurora   Aurora
Dean College Aurora   Aurora
Delaware Valley Aurora   Aurora
Delhi Aurora   Aurora
Denison Denison insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Denison
DePauw Aurora tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Aurora
DeSales DeSales   DeSales
Dickinson Dickinson   Dickinson
Drew Aurora   Aurora
Dubuque Aurora Aurora  
Earlham Aurora insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Aurora
Eastern Eastern   Eastern
Eastern Connecticut Aurora   Aurora
Edgewood Aurora Aurora  
Elizabethtown Elizabethtown   Elizabethtown
Elmhurst Elmhurst Elmhurst  
Elmira Aurora   Aurora
Emerson Aurora   Aurora
Emmanuel (MA) Aurora insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Aurora
Endicott Endicott insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Endicott
Farmingdale State Farmingdale State   Farmingdale State
FDU-Florham Aurora   Aurora
Franciscan Aurora   Aurora
Franklin & Marshall Franklin & Marshall   Franklin & Marshall
Geneseo Geneseo tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Geneseo
Gettysburg Gettysburg   Gettysburg
Gordon Aurora   Aurora
Goucher Aurora   Aurora
Greensboro Aurora   Aurora
Grove City Grove City   Grove City
Guilford Aurora insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Aurora
Gwynedd Mercy Aurora   Aurora
Hamilton Hamilton   Hamilton
Hampden-Sydney Hampden-Sydney   Hampden-Sydney
Hanover Aurora tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Aurora
Hartford Hartford   Hartford
Hartwick Aurora tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Aurora
Haverford Haverford tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Haverford
Heidelberg Aurora   Aurora
Hendrix Aurora insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Aurora
Hilbert Aurora   Aurora
Hiram Aurora   Aurora
Hood Aurora   Aurora
Hope Hope insuffient: ( 2- 3)( 3- 2) Hope
Huntingdon Aurora   Aurora
Husson Aurora   Aurora
Illinois Tech Aurora Aurora  
Illinois Wesleyan Illinois Wesleyan Illinois Wesleyan  
Immaculata Aurora   Aurora
Ithaca Ithaca tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Ithaca
John Carroll John Carroll insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) John Carroll
Johnson & Wales Aurora   Aurora
Juniata Aurora   Aurora
Kalamazoo Kalamazoo Kalamazoo  
Kean Kean   Kean
Keene State Keene State   Keene State
Kenyon Kenyon insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Kenyon
Keuka Aurora tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Aurora
Kings Aurora   Aurora
La Roche Aurora   Aurora
LaGrange Aurora   Aurora
Lake Forest Aurora Aurora  
Lasell Aurora   Aurora
Lawrence Aurora Aurora  
Lebanon Valley Aurora   Aurora
Lycoming Aurora   Aurora
Lynchburg Lynchburg   Lynchburg
Maine Maritime Aurora   Aurora
Manhattanville Aurora   Aurora
Marian (WI) Aurora Aurora  
Marietta Aurora   Aurora
Maritime Maritime   Maritime
Mary Washington Mary Washington   Mary Washington
Marymount Aurora   Aurora
Marywood Aurora   Aurora
Massachusetts Maritime Massachusetts Maritime   Massachusetts Maritime
Massachusetts-Boston Massachusetts-Boston tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Massachusetts-Boston
McDaniel Aurora   Aurora
MCLA Aurora   Aurora
Merchant Marine Merchant Marine   Merchant Marine
Messiah Messiah   Messiah
Methodist Aurora   Aurora
Middlebury Middlebury   Middlebury
Misericordia Misericordia   Misericordia
MIT MIT   MIT
Mitchell Aurora   Aurora
Montclair State Montclair State   Montclair State
Moravian Moravian tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Moravian
Morrisville Aurora   Aurora
Mount St Mary (NY) Aurora   Aurora
Mount St Vincent Aurora   Aurora
Mount Union Aurora   Aurora
MSOE Aurora Aurora  
Muhlenberg Muhlenberg   Muhlenberg
Muskingum Aurora   Aurora
Nazareth Nazareth tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Nazareth
Neumann Aurora   Aurora
New England College Aurora   Aurora
New Paltz Aurora   Aurora
Nichols Aurora   Aurora
North Central North Central tied - ( 4- 2) ( 4- 2) North Central
Northland Aurora Aurora   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Norwich Aurora   Aurora
Oberlin Oberlin tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Oberlin
Oglethorpe Aurora   Aurora
Ohio Northern Ohio Northern   Ohio Northern
Ohio Wesleyan Ohio Wesleyan   Ohio Wesleyan
Oneonta Oneonta   Oneonta
Oswego Oswego   Oswego
Otterbein Otterbein   Otterbein
Penn College Penn College   Penn College
Pfeiffer Pfeiffer tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Pfeiffer
Piedmont Aurora   Aurora
Pitt-Bradford Aurora   Aurora
Plattsburgh Aurora   Aurora
Plymouth State Plymouth State   Plymouth State
Potsdam Potsdam   Potsdam
Purchase Aurora   Aurora
Randolph Aurora   Aurora
Randolph-Macon Randolph-Macon   Randolph-Macon
Regis (MA) Aurora   Aurora
Rhodes Rhodes tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Rhodes
RIT RIT insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) RIT
Rivier Rivier   Rivier
Roanoke Roanoke   Roanoke
Roger Williams Roger Williams   Roger Williams
Rosemont Aurora   Aurora
RPI RPI   RPI
Sage Aurora tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Aurora
Salem State Aurora   Aurora
Salisbury Salisbury   Salisbury
Salve Regina Salve Regina   Salve Regina
Scranton Scranton   Scranton
Sewanee Sewanee   Sewanee
Shenandoah Aurora   Aurora
Skidmore Skidmore   Skidmore
Southern Maine Aurora   Aurora
Southern Virginia Aurora   Aurora
Southwestern Aurora insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Aurora
Spalding Aurora Aurora   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Springfield Springfield   Springfield
St John Fisher St John Fisher St John Fisher  
St Joseph (CT) Aurora   Aurora
St Josephs (LI) Aurora   Aurora
St Josephs (ME) Aurora   Aurora
St Lawrence St Lawrence insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) St Lawrence
St Marys (MD) St Marys (MD)   St Marys (MD)
St Vincent Aurora   Aurora
Stevens Stevens   Stevens
Stevenson Stevenson   Stevenson
Stockton Stockton   Stockton
SUNY Poly Aurora tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Aurora
Susquehanna Susquehanna   Susquehanna
Swarthmore Swarthmore   Swarthmore
Thiel Aurora   Aurora
Thomas Aurora   Aurora
Transylvania Transylvania tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 2) Transylvania
Trine Trine insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 3- 0) Trine
Trinity Trinity insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Trinity
Tufts Tufts   Tufts
U of New England Aurora   Aurora
Union Union   Union
Ursinus Ursinus insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Ursinus
Utica Aurora tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Aurora
Vassar Vassar   Vassar
Virginia Wesleyan Aurora   Aurora
Wabash Aurora tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Aurora
Warren Wilson Aurora   Aurora
Washington & Jefferson Aurora   Aurora
Washington & Lee Washington & Lee   Washington & Lee
Washington College Washington College   Washington College
Wentworth Wentworth tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Wentworth
Wesleyan Wesleyan   Wesleyan
Western Connecticut Western Connecticut   Western Connecticut
Western New England Western New England   Western New England
Westminster (PA) Aurora   Aurora
Wheaton Wheaton   Wheaton
Widener Aurora   Aurora
Wilkes Aurora   Aurora
William Peace Aurora   Aurora
Williams Williams   Williams
Wilmington (OH) Aurora   Aurora
Wittenberg Aurora   Aurora
Wooster Wooster insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Wooster
York York   York

PowerWise = 128


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 15.90

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 H Illinois Wesle  (14- 2, 88.7)     7-13      -11.24      28.71      -0.34         0.84            -9.69
   0 A Kalamazoo       ( 6- 7, 82.1)     9-12      -17.78      22.17       0.34         0.84           -14.60
   0 A Colorado Colle  ( 8- 6, 88.9)     6-14      -10.97      28.99       0.34         0.84            -8.90
   0 N St John Fisher  (15- 4, 93.1)     4-17       -6.83      33.12      -0.00         0.84            -5.72
   0 H Elmhurst        (13- 3, 90.2)     6-17       -9.71      30.25      -0.34         0.84            -8.41
   0 H Concordia-Wisc  (12- 8, 81.7)    13- 5      -18.23      21.73      -0.34         0.84            17.90
   0 A MSOE            (10- 7, 80.2)    16- 4      -19.69      20.27       0.34         0.84            17.24
   0 H Cornell Colleg  ( 4-11, 74.9)    19- 4      -24.97      14.99      -0.34         0.84            12.26
   0 H Beloit          ( 4-11, 73.9)    24- 2      -25.96      14.00      -0.34         0.84            11.43
   0 A Dubuque         (11- 7, 81.4)    12- 6      -18.54      21.42       0.34         0.84            18.21
   0 A Edgewood        ( 4-11, 77.3)    18- 4      -22.64      17.31       0.34         0.84            14.77
   0 A Illinois Tech   ( 8- 9, 79.8)    14- 3      -20.09      19.87       0.34         0.84            16.91
   0 H Lawrence        ( 4-11, 76.7)    30- 2      -23.22      16.74      -0.34         0.84            13.72
   0 H Lake Forest     (10- 8, 82.6)    10- 9      -17.30      22.66      -0.34         0.84            18.68
   0 A Marian (WI)     ( 1-12, 72.2)    22- 4      -27.71      12.24       0.34         0.84            10.53
   0 A Benedictine (I  ( 6-12, 78.9)    18- 4      -21.05      18.91       0.34         0.84            16.11
   0 H Edgewood        ( 4-11, 77.3)    22- 7      -22.64      17.31      -0.34         0.84            14.20
   0 H Lake Forest     (10- 8, 82.6)    12- 9      -17.30      22.66      -0.34         0.84            18.68
   0 H Concordia-Wisc  (12- 8, 81.7)    14- 9      -18.23      21.73      -0.34         0.84            17.90
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                       171.21

winning pts = 218.5232 losing points = -47.3115

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------