UPDATED: 04-05-26 08:39 PDT

men Aurora 3
  
Aurora                
W-L: ( 5- 3) PR = 85.7816

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 215 H Colorado College HCLC South ( 8- 2, 90.2) 11-17 221 A Illinois Wesleyan CCIW ( 7- 4, 87.4) 15-14 228 A Elmhurst CCIW ( 8- 2, 90.1) 4-15 311 A Immaculata AEC ( 8- 4, 83.5) 10-13 318 A Concordia-Wisconsin NACC ( 9- 1, 85.9) 11- 9 321 H MSOE NACC ( 7- 3, 81.9) 21- 5 325 A Cornell College NACC ( 3- 5, 75.1) 21- 2 328 A Beloit NACC ( 3- 5, 74.5) 24- 0 401 H Dubuque NACC ( 4- 5, 80.0) 404 H Edgewood NACC ( 1- 7, 75.7) 408 H Illinois Tech NACC ( 3- 7, 81.3) 411 A Lawrence NACC ( 5- 5, 79.6) 415 A Lake Forest NACC ( 5- 4, 83.6) 418 H Marian (WI) NACC ( 0- 5, 65.0) 422 H Benedictine (IL) NACC ( 6- 3, 80.8)

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   215 H Colorado College       11-17      -6    -4          -0.88
   221 A Illinois Wesleyan      15-14       1    -2    +      2.90
   228 A Elmhurst                4-15     -11    -5          -0.32
   311 A Immaculata             10-13      -3     2    --    -4.93
   318 A Concordia-Wisconsin    11- 9       2     0    +      2.46
   321 H MSOE                   21- 5      16     4           0.82
   325 A Cornell College        21- 2      19    10           0.00
   328 A Beloit                 24- 0      24    11           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   311 A Immaculata             10-13      -3     2    --    -4.93

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   221 A Illinois Wesleyan      15-14       1    -2    +      2.90
   318 A Concordia-Wisconsin    11- 9       2     0    +      2.46

Aurora Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Adrian Aurora   Aurora
Albertus Magnus Aurora   Aurora
Albion Aurora tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Aurora
Albright Aurora tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Aurora
Alfred Aurora   Aurora
Alfred State Aurora   Aurora
Allegheny Aurora insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Aurora
Alma Aurora insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Aurora
Alvernia Aurora tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Aurora
Amherst Amherst   Amherst
Anderson (IN) Aurora   Aurora
Anna Maria Aurora   Aurora
Arcadia Arcadia insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Arcadia
Augustana Aurora Aurora   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Averett Aurora   Aurora
Babson Babson   Babson
Baldwin Wallace Baldwin Wallace insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Baldwin Wallace
Bates Bates   Bates
Beloit Aurora Aurora  
Benedictine (IL) Aurora Aurora   3- 0 vs 0- 3
Berry Aurora   Aurora
Bethany Aurora   Aurora
Bowdoin Bowdoin   Bowdoin
Brevard Aurora   Aurora
Bridgewater Aurora   Aurora
Brockport Aurora   Aurora
Bryn Athyn Aurora   Aurora
Cairn Aurora   Aurora
Calvin Aurora insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 2) Aurora
Canton Aurora   Aurora
Capital Aurora   Aurora
Carroll Aurora Aurora   3- 0 vs 1- 2
Carthage Aurora insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) Aurora
Castleton Aurora   Aurora
Catholic Catholic   Catholic
Centenary (LA) Aurora tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Aurora
Centenary (NJ) Aurora   Aurora
Centre Centre tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Centre
Chatham Aurora   Aurora
Christopher Newport Christopher Newport   Christopher Newport
Clark Aurora   Aurora
Clarkson Clarkson   Clarkson
Coast Guard Aurora   Aurora
Cobleskill Aurora   Aurora
Colby Colby   Colby
Colorado College Colorado College Colorado College  
Concordia-Wisconsin Aurora Aurora  
Connecticut College Connecticut College   Connecticut College
Cornell College Aurora Aurora  
Cortland Cortland   Cortland
Curry Aurora   Aurora
Dean College Aurora   Aurora
Delaware Valley Aurora tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Aurora
Delhi Aurora   Aurora
Denison Denison tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Denison
DePauw Aurora insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Aurora
DeSales Aurora tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Aurora
Dickinson Dickinson   Dickinson
Drew Aurora tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Aurora
Dubuque Aurora insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Aurora
Earlham Aurora insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Aurora
Eastern Aurora   Aurora
Eastern Connecticut Aurora   Aurora
Edgewood Aurora   Aurora
Elizabethtown Elizabethtown   Elizabethtown
Elmhurst Elmhurst Elmhurst  
Elmira Aurora   Aurora
Emerson Aurora   Aurora
Emmanuel (MA) Aurora   Aurora
Endicott Endicott   Endicott
Farmingdale State Aurora   Aurora
FDU-Florham Aurora   Aurora
Franciscan Aurora   Aurora
Franklin & Marshall Franklin & Marshall   Franklin & Marshall
Geneseo Geneseo   Geneseo
Gettysburg Gettysburg   Gettysburg
Gordon Aurora   Aurora
Goucher Aurora   Aurora
Greensboro Aurora   Aurora
Grove City Grove City   Grove City
Guilford Aurora   Aurora
Gwynedd Mercy Aurora   Aurora
Hamilton Hamilton   Hamilton
Hampden-Sydney Hampden-Sydney   Hampden-Sydney
Hanover Aurora   Aurora
Hartford Hartford   Hartford
Hartwick Aurora   Aurora
Haverford Haverford   Haverford
Heidelberg Aurora   Aurora
Hendrix Aurora insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Aurora
Hilbert Aurora   Aurora
Hiram Aurora   Aurora
Hood Aurora   Aurora
Hope Hope insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Hope
Huntingdon Aurora   Aurora
Husson Aurora   Aurora
Illinois Tech Aurora insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) Aurora
Illinois Wesleyan Aurora Aurora  
Immaculata Immaculata Immaculata  
Ithaca Ithaca   Ithaca
John Carroll Aurora tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Aurora
Johnson & Wales Aurora   Aurora
Juniata Aurora   Aurora
Kalamazoo Aurora insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Aurora
Kean Aurora   Aurora
Keene State Aurora   Aurora
Kenyon Kenyon tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Kenyon
Keuka Aurora   Aurora
Kings Aurora tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Aurora
La Roche Aurora   Aurora
LaGrange Aurora   Aurora
Lake Forest Aurora Aurora   3- 1 vs 1- 3
Lasell Aurora   Aurora
Lawrence Aurora tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) Aurora
Lebanon Valley Lebanon Valley insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Lebanon Valley
Lycoming Aurora   Aurora
Lynchburg Lynchburg   Lynchburg
Maine Maritime Aurora   Aurora
Manhattanville Aurora tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Aurora
Marian (WI) Aurora insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Aurora
Marietta Aurora   Aurora
Maritime Aurora   Aurora
Mary Washington Mary Washington   Mary Washington
Marymount Aurora insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Aurora
Marywood Aurora   Aurora
Massachusetts Maritime Aurora   Aurora
Massachusetts-Boston Massachusetts-Boston   Massachusetts-Boston
McDaniel Aurora   Aurora
MCLA Aurora   Aurora
Merchant Marine Merchant Marine   Merchant Marine
Messiah Messiah   Messiah
Methodist Aurora   Aurora
Middlebury Middlebury   Middlebury
Misericordia Aurora insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Aurora
MIT MIT   MIT
Mitchell Aurora   Aurora
Montclair State Montclair State   Montclair State
Moravian Aurora   Aurora
Morrisville Aurora   Aurora
Mount St Mary (NY) Aurora   Aurora
Mount St Vincent Aurora   Aurora
Mount Union Aurora   Aurora
MSOE Aurora Aurora  
Muhlenberg Muhlenberg   Muhlenberg
Muskingum Aurora   Aurora
Nazareth Nazareth   Nazareth
Neumann Aurora   Aurora
New England College Aurora   Aurora
New Paltz Aurora   Aurora
Nichols Aurora   Aurora
North Central Aurora Aurora   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Northland Aurora   Aurora
Norwich Aurora   Aurora
Oberlin Oberlin tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Oberlin
Oglethorpe Aurora   Aurora
Ohio Northern Ohio Northern   Ohio Northern
Ohio Wesleyan Ohio Wesleyan insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Ohio Wesleyan
Oneonta Aurora   Aurora
Oswego Oswego   Oswego
Otterbein Aurora   Aurora
Penn College Penn College   Penn College
Pfeiffer Pfeiffer tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Pfeiffer
Piedmont Aurora   Aurora
Pitt-Bradford Aurora   Aurora
Plattsburgh Aurora   Aurora
Plymouth State Aurora   Aurora
Potsdam Potsdam   Potsdam
Purchase Aurora   Aurora
Randolph Aurora   Aurora
Randolph-Macon Randolph-Macon   Randolph-Macon
Regis (MA) Aurora   Aurora
Rhodes Rhodes   Rhodes
RIT RIT   RIT
Rivier Rivier   Rivier
Roanoke Roanoke tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Roanoke
Roger Williams Aurora   Aurora
Rosemont Aurora   Aurora
RPI RPI   RPI
Sage Aurora   Aurora
Salem State Aurora   Aurora
Salisbury Salisbury insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Salisbury
Salve Regina Salve Regina   Salve Regina
Scranton Scranton   Scranton
Sewanee Sewanee tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Sewanee
Shenandoah Aurora   Aurora
Skidmore Skidmore   Skidmore
Southern Maine Aurora   Aurora
Southern Virginia Aurora   Aurora
Southwestern Aurora tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Aurora
Spalding Aurora Aurora   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Springfield Springfield   Springfield
St John Fisher St John Fisher   St John Fisher
St Joseph (CT) Aurora   Aurora
St Josephs (LI) Aurora   Aurora
St Josephs (ME) Aurora tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Aurora
St Lawrence St Lawrence   St Lawrence
St Marys (MD) St Marys (MD)   St Marys (MD)
St Vincent Aurora tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Aurora
Stevens Stevens   Stevens
Stevenson Stevenson   Stevenson
Stockton Stockton   Stockton
SUNY Poly Aurora   Aurora
Susquehanna Aurora   Aurora
Swarthmore Swarthmore   Swarthmore
Thiel Aurora   Aurora
Thomas Aurora   Aurora
Transylvania Transylvania   Transylvania
Trine Trine tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Trine
Trinity Trinity   Trinity
Tufts Tufts   Tufts
U of New England Aurora   Aurora
Union Union   Union
Ursinus Ursinus   Ursinus
Utica Aurora   Aurora
Vassar Vassar   Vassar
Virginia Wesleyan Virginia Wesleyan   Virginia Wesleyan
Wabash Aurora insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Aurora
Warren Wilson Aurora   Aurora
Washington & Jefferson Aurora insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Aurora
Washington & Lee Washington & Lee   Washington & Lee
Washington College Washington College   Washington College
Wentworth Wentworth tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Wentworth
Wesleyan Wesleyan   Wesleyan
Western Connecticut Western Connecticut   Western Connecticut
Western New England Western New England   Western New England
Westminster (PA) Aurora   Aurora
Wheaton Wheaton   Wheaton
Widener Aurora   Aurora
Wilkes Aurora   Aurora
William Peace Aurora   Aurora
Williams Williams   Williams
Wilmington (OH) Aurora   Aurora
Wittenberg Aurora   Aurora
Wooster Wooster tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Wooster
York York   York

PowerWise = 149


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 8.88

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 H Colorado Colle  ( 8- 2, 90.2)    11-17       -9.67      29.58      -0.33         1.11           -11.10
   0 A Illinois Wesle  ( 7- 4, 87.4)    15-14      -12.54      26.70       0.33         1.11            30.01
   0 A Elmhurst        ( 8- 2, 90.1)     4-15       -9.77      29.47       0.33         1.11           -10.48
   0 A Immaculata      ( 8- 4, 83.5)    10-13      -16.37      22.87       0.33         1.11           -17.81
   0 A Concordia-Wisc  ( 9- 1, 85.9)    11- 9      -13.99      25.26       0.33         1.11            28.40
   0 H MSOE            ( 7- 3, 81.9)    21- 5      -17.97      21.28      -0.33         1.11            23.26
   0 A Cornell Colleg  ( 3- 5, 75.1)    21- 2      -24.82      14.43       0.33         1.11            16.38
   0 A Beloit          ( 3- 5, 74.5)    24- 0      -25.44      13.80       0.33         1.11            15.69
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                        74.35

winning pts = 113.7415 losing points = -39.3905

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------